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The Paradox of Administrative Growth in Declining Sectors
When it comes to the curious phenomenon of administrative growth amid the ruins of shrinking sectors, It is a tale as old as bureaucratic time: shrinking relevance matched not by austerity but by a fevered proliferation of committees, compliance officers, and PowerPoint presentations.
Northcote Parkinson, an astute observer of the bureaucratic condition, famously remarked that "work expands to fill the time available for its completion." In a declining sector, the administrators do not retreat, pruning their numbers to match reduced demand. Instead, they conjure new initiatives, oversight panels, and layers of protocol to justify their continued relevance.
As the productive engine sputters, administrators reallocate dwindling resources into tasks that, while busy-sounding, are functionally inert: compliance tracking, endless restructuring, or auditing the auditors.
The real work—the building of things or the teaching of students, is overloaded by a disproportionate cost of the administrative middle managers monitoring it all.
As operational budgets dry up, resources are redirected to fortify the administrative body itself. These entities will lobby for their importance, rebrand their missions, or create entirely new mandates to justify their continued existence. Bureaucratic structures are as permanent as ancient ruins, but far less picturesque.
As a sector declines, administrators often claim a disproportionate share of remaining resources, often dressed in the language of oversight or strategic necessity. The result is an absurd ratio of administrators to actual producers
This is an inefficiency spiral, a kind of slow-motion collapse of a sector’s core mission. An empire-building instinct baked into the DNA of administrative entities. And it ends, not with a bang but with an overstaffed compliance review.
-The Political Viking
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